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Countdown
Tuesday, June 30, 2026 · 63 days away
Countdown
Chinese AI Model Hits #1 — Polymarket Threshold
Event overview
Polymarket question on whether a Chinese-origin model (DeepSeek, Qwen, Kimi, GLM) becomes #1 on LMArena by June 30, 2026 — the most-watched proxy for China's frontier-AI catch-up to OpenAI/Google/Anthropic.
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Background
A detailed editorial write-up for Chinese AI Model Hits #1 — Polymarket Threshold is being prepared. In the meantime, see the primary source for the most current information.
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Live odds from Polymarket (crypto-settled). Probabilities update every few seconds and reflect what real money is betting on the outcome. Cached here for 5 minutes.
Not financial advice. Access varies by jurisdiction.
