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Countdown
Thursday, December 31, 2026 · 247 days away
Countdown
Satoshi Wallet Movement Watch (2026)
Live odds from Polymarket (crypto-settled). Probabilities update every few seconds and reflect what real money is betting on the outcome. Cached here for 5 minutes.
Not financial advice. Access varies by jurisdiction.
Event overview
Polymarket's 'Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026' event — the most-watched on-chain question in crypto. Resolution is based on movement of any pre-Aug-2010 Patoshi-pattern wallet.
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Background
A detailed editorial write-up for Satoshi Wallet Movement Watch (2026) is being prepared. In the meantime, see the primary source for the most current information.
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