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Countdown
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 · 14 days away
Countdown
Gemini 3 Launch (rumored at Google I/O)
Event overview
Google DeepMind's Gemini 3 is widely expected to debut at Google I/O 2026 (May 12). The 'best AI model' Polymarket market tracks which lab leads at end-of-month checkpoints.
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Background
A detailed editorial write-up for Gemini 3 Launch (rumored at Google I/O) is being prepared. In the meantime, see the primary source for the most current information.
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Live odds from Polymarket (crypto-settled). Probabilities update every few seconds and reflect what real money is betting on the outcome. Cached here for 5 minutes.

Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Most likely: Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
98%
Implied probability
$20.7M
Volume traded

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Most likely: Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
68%
Implied probability
$29K
Volume traded
Not financial advice. Access varies by jurisdiction.